Probabilistic Toolkit (PTK)
The Probabilistic Toolkit analyses the effects of uncertainty to any model. These models range from python scripts to geotechnical en hydrodynamical Deltares applications and non-Deltares applications.
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When the user has added uncertainty to a deterministic model in the Probabilistic Toolkit, he can perform the following analyses:
- Sensitivity: Investigate the effect of uncertainty per input parameter
- Model uncertainty: See how model results chage due to uncertain input parameters
- Calibration: Derive input parameters with uncertainty from measurements of output values
- Reliability: Compute the probability of undesired events
Using the Probabilistic Toolkit, the user can:
- Asses existing geotechnical and hydrodynamical constructions
- Design new geotechnical and hydrodynamical constructions
- Perform risk-based asset management
Special features
- Each numeric value in an input file can be used as an uncertain parameter
- Uncertainty of parameters can be fitted to measurements
- A chain of calculations can be established by connecting scripts and applications
- Calculation times can be reduced by response surfaces
- Probabilities of failure can be combined
- Conditional probability of failure is supported
- Intermediate results give the user insight how analyses are performed
The Probabilistic Toolkit is available for download for everyone.
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